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    Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen

    Research Economist en EsadeEcPol

    Research Economist en EsadeEcPol. Máster en Economía Industrial y Mercados regulados por la Universidad Carlos III de Madrid

    insight Macro & fiscal policy
    Is the electricity social bonus reaching those who need it? An analysis of coverage rates and household characteristics
    Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Ángel Martínez Jorge
    12 Sep, 2024

    Analysis published together with Oxfam Intermón. Key ideas In 2022, almost 8 out of 10 potential beneficiaries did not receive the electricity social bonus: its coverage rate stands at 24.5%, and is particularly high for large families (45.5%). A good share of those who do benefit from the social bonus are not vulnerable families: among […]

    reaction Green transition
    The European electricity market reform: an assessment & next steps
    Pedro Linares Llamas, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Jorge Galindo
    12 Jan, 2024

    The functioning of the European electricity market needs new instruments to encourage investment in large-scale renewable energy projects and storage. Although in theory markets such as the European could incentivize investment, in practice they have failed to do so. In fact, at a certain point of maturity, the price decline in the electricity markets reduced […]

    insight Green transition
    Assessment of social impacts in the context of the transition to zero emissions mobility
    Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Jorge Galindo
    23 Nov, 2023

    The urgent need for decarbonization has broadened the scope of transportation policy from improving network conditions, such as reducing congestion or improving accessibility, to include sustainability considerations, promoting zero-emission mobility, and climate change adaptation measures. While these measures are critical in reducing the carbon footprint of the transportation sector, they can also have unintended social […]

    workingpaper Green transition
    The Iberian exception: estimating the impact of a cap on gas prices for electricity generation on consumer prices and market dynamics
    Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Jorge Galindo, Manuel Hidalgo Pérez, Ramón Mateo Escobar
    17 Nov, 2023

    As the volatility of short-term energy market prices increases due to exogenous shocks and the changing nature of the energy mix market interventions are gaining importance in the policy debate. Accurate and robust quantification of their impact is becoming therefore essential. This paper conducts a causality analysis to evaluate the Spanish ‘gas cap’ for electricity […]

    brief Green transition
    Did the metropolitan public transport subsidy get cars off city streets?
    Jorge Galindo, Javier Martínez Santos, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen
    18 Oct, 2023

    Key ideas → With the available evidence, we cannot claim that the subsidy for metropolitan rail transport has reduced the number of cars on the streets of Madrid. → Nor is there any effect for the areas with the highest traffic intensity, lower (or higher) income levels, the main access roads to the city (M-30), […]

    brief Green transition
    What will be the effect in Spain of the new EU emissions tax on imports?
    Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Pedro Linares Llamas, Ángel Martínez
    8 Jun, 2023

    Energy-intensive sectors in the European Union pay for the environmental costs of their activities through an emissions allowance market, where each tonne of CO2 emitted has a specific price. To prevent these additional costs from putting European industry at a disadvantage compared with imports from third countries, a free quota was previously allocated to the […]

    reaction Cities
    What will and will not work in the new housing policy to improve access to rental housing
    Jorge Galindo, Ángel Martínez Jorge, Javier Martínez Santos, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen
    3 May, 2023

    The new housing policy aims to solve the evident rental problems in Spanish cities through price controls in stressed areas and an effort to increase the supply of social rental housing. The effort on access is promising and goes in the right direction to solve the problem, while the controls could prove counterproductive. The commitment […]

    insight Macro & fiscal policy
    Who receives energy social bonuses: an analysis by income level and family type
    Ángel Martínez Jorge, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Jorge Galindo
    21 Mar, 2023

    Only 8.3% of households receive any energy social bonus, even though 14.3% reported having problems keeping their home at an adequate temperature in 2021, the latest available data. This percentage only rises to 17% among the third of households with the lowest income, and falls rapidly as we look at middle- and upper-middle-class households, covering […]

    insight Green transition
    The Effects of the Spanish Gas Cap on Prices, Inflation, and Consumption Six Months Later
    Manuel Hidalgo Pérez, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Jorge Galindo, Ramón Mateo Escobar
    2 Feb, 2023

    The most notable measure to curb the escalation of electricity prices during 2022 has been the temporary gas price cap implemented in Spain and Portugal. This is a compensation paid to combined cycle gas turbines (CCGT), coal, and cogeneration plants to lower the price offered in the wholesale market, thus seeking a decrease in the […]

    brief Green transition
    Estimating the effect of the Spanish gas price cap for electricity generation
    Manuel Hidalgo Pérez, Ramón Mateo Escobar, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Jorge Galindo
    30 Sep, 2022

    One of the most significant measures enacted so far to moderate the escalation of electricity costs is the gas cap implemented exceptionally in Spain and Portugal. This so-called cap is a compensation paid to electricity companies using this fossil fuel to lower the price offered in the wholesale market. In doing so, it is intended […]

    brief Macro & fiscal policy
    How has the fuel discount affected prices at service stations?
    Manuel Hidalgo Pérez, Ángel Martínez Jorge, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen
    7 Jul, 2022

    In this policy brief we present the study that, to date, offers the most detailed analysis of the effect of the discount on fuel prices. To do so, we develop an econometric model that allows us to predict fuel prices with 99% accuracy using daily data from the more than 11,000 service stations in Spain […]

    insight Green transition
    The impact of the carbon border adjustment on industrial competitiveness
    Pedro Linares Llamas, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen
    15 Jun, 2022

    The European Union is working to establish a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM), so that imported products pay the same price as that now paid by European producers through the existing emission rights trading system (EU ETS). The objective is to level the playing field between local producers and foreign producers that export to the […]

    webinar Polarisation
    ¿Está la sociedad española polarizada en torno a la transición verde?
    Luis Miller, Míriam Juan-Torres, Ramón Mateo Escobar, Toni Timoner, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Jorge Galindo
    15 JUN, 202216:00 h

    La transición verde es uno de los mayores retos de política pública y económica a los que se enfrenta España. Sin embargo, sabemos aún poco hasta qué punto nuestra sociedad está polarizada o dividida en torno a las medidas que debemos abordar, o al menos considerar, para reducir los efectos del cambio climático y descarbonizar […]

    insight Polarisation
    A snapshot of the divisions and consensus in Spanish society on climate change
    Sandra León, Lluís Orriols, Pablo Fernández-Vázquez, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Jorge Galindo, Álvaro Fernández
    15 Jun, 2022

    To better understand the consensus and divisions around the crucial challenge of the green transition, EsadeEcPol has conducted a survey that is pioneering in its breadth and depth. Here we present its key results and the resulting snapshot of public opinion.  The fundamental consensus begins with the high importance attached to the problem of climate […]

    insight Green transition
    How to reconcile energy independence and decarbonization goals: key challenges and possible solutions
    Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Jorge Galindo, Manuel Hidalgo Pérez
    8 Jun, 2022

    The new goal of ending EU reliance on Russian energy is in addition to and must be reconciled with the existing goal of decarbonising the Spanish economy. This reconciliation seems obvious in the very long term, but in the short and medium terms, it poses challenges for Spain and other countries: The immediate upward pressure […]

    insight Green transition
    Which policies will work best to increase efficiency and moderate energy demand?
    Pedro Linares Llamas, Jorge Galindo, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Diego Caminero Lorenzo
    26 May, 2022

    The need to align the goals of decarbonisation and energy independence from Russia increases the need for policies to rationalise our energy consumption. The most promising policies for doing so are those that affect the price of energy through taxes and similar instruments, especially for households, individuals and commercial establishments, for two reasons: They maintain […]

    insight Macro & fiscal policy
    The invasion of Ukraine in Spain: impacts and policies
    Manuel Hidalgo Pérez, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Jorge Galindo, Ángel Martínez Jorge, Carlos Victoria
    7 Apr, 2022

    The short- and medium-term effect of the economic decoupling between Russia and Europe resulting from the invasion of Ukraine is a double blow to Spaniards’ purchasing power, combining rising inflation and slowing GDP growth. We expect the crisis to reduce Spain’s expected growth for 2022 by more than 1%, with upside risks. Inflation, for its […]

    brief Covid-19
    Winners and losers of the crisis: the six gaps opened up by the pandemic
    Toni Roldán, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Ángel Martínez Jorge
    10 Nov, 2021

    ¿Cómo queda la foto de las desigualdades causadas por la pandemia, un año y medio después de la eclosión global del virus?

    insight Cities
    Will the new Housing Law improve the rental market in Spain?
    Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Ángel Martínez Jorge, Jorge Galindo
    26 Oct, 2021

    En el presente documento analizamos al detalle los componentes clave (control de precios, medidas fiscales y aumento de oferta) de la nueva y ambiciosa Ley de Vivienda presentada por el Gobierno.

    insight Global challenges
    Summary and audio of the event “Towards an ecosystem of excellence in artificial intelligence based on trust”
    Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen
    19 May, 2021

    Artificial intelligence is one of the great social and political challenges of our time, and at EsadeEcPol we want to contribute to the debate on how to meet this challenge. To this end, on 5 May we held a webinar to discuss the transformative potential of this technology, the risks it entails and the need […]

    brief NextGenEU Spain Observatory
    Reforms, governance and human capital: the major weaknesses of the recovery plan
    Toni Roldán, Manuel Hidalgo Pérez, Marta Suárez-Varela, Lucas Gortazar, Ramón Mateo Escobar, Carlos Victoria, Natalia Collado Van-Baumberghen, Ángel Martínez Jorge
    27 Apr, 2021

    En este Policy Brief analizamos las diez políticas palanca y la gobernanza del “Plan de Recuperación, Transformación y Resiliencia: España Puede”.

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