Angel Saz-Carranza, director of EsadeGeo, talks about the current state of the conflict in Ukraine and the expectations for the future. Will arms shipments continue? Will Ukraine join the European Union? Is the West alone in its rejection of Russia?

On February 24, 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that his troops had entered Ukraine with the aim of demilitarizing the country and replacing its government. That invasion – euphemistically, if rather unsuccessfully, camouflaged as a “special military operation” – was to last a few days until Kyiv fell to Russia’s overwhelming military superiority. Or so it was thought, at least, on both sides of the Atlantic.  

One year on, Ukraine is holding out. The Russian troops are hundreds of kilometers from Kyiv, bogged down in the Ukrainian trenches. Putin’s government still stands, impervious to Western sanctions and quashing any internal opposition. For its part, the European Union is riding the inflationary wave and has learned to live without access to cheap Russian gas.  

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