Exit strategy: from self-confinement to green zones

EsadeEcPol Insight #6

Executive summary

The Covid-19 pandemic has put the world to an unprecedented test. A wide range of social distancing and confinement measures have been implemented to reduce the progression of infections. Returning to normality is the next challenge. It is important to avoid a resurgence of the virus while minimising the societal and economic damage.

We propose a practical exit strategy that is based on two key elements: identifying green zones, and progressively joining them together once it is safe to do so. Supported by simulations, we show how territories could be rapidly unified, within two to four months.