{"id":12377,"date":"2025-07-15T10:45:12","date_gmt":"2025-07-15T08:45:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/informe-economico-y-financiero-37\/"},"modified":"2025-07-15T08:50:01","modified_gmt":"2025-07-15T06:50:01","slug":"informe-economico-y-financiero-37","status":"publish","type":"publicaciones","link":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/en\/publications\/informe-economico-y-financiero-37\/","title":{"rendered":"Informe Econ\u00f3mico y Financiero #37"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Esade publishes every six months, with the support of Banco Sabadell, the Economic and Financial Report, which on this occasion celebrates its 37th edition. With it, Esade maintains its vocation to contribute to public debate through rigorous and plural analysis that, as a prestigious school and with the complicity of its entire academic community, reinforces its commitment to economic and social progress.<\/p>\n<p>In his welcome article, the Director of the Report and of EsadeEcPol, Toni Rold\u00e1n, emphasizes how 2025 marks a turning point in the global economic order after three decades of globalization under multilateral rules. He highlights the irreversible fracture of the global system\u2014accelerated by Donald Trump\u2019s reelection and his \u201cAmerica First\u201d doctrine\u2014and the new transactional phase of the United States, which treats the European Union as a commercial rival. At the same time, he underscores Spain\u2019s relatively favourable position, with GDP growth estimated between 2.4\u202f% and 2.6\u202f% for 2025, supported by strong domestic consumption, the surge in tourism and a labour market at historic lows; he also notes the boost from immigration and renewable energies, while warning of risks such as the structural public deficit, imbalances in the housing market and exposure to new U.S. tariffs.<\/p>\n<p>Next, the joint conjuncture note by Josep\u202fM. Comajuncosa and Manuel\u202fHidalgo first examines the synchronized cooling of the global economy\u2014with the IMF lowering its forecasts to 2.4\u202f% for 2025\u2014the moderation of inflation after recent geopolitical and financial tensions, and the narrow fiscal and monetary policy margins. It then analyses the evolution of the Spanish economy, which maintains robust growth (2.3\u202f%\u20132.6\u202f% projected for 2025), driven by high household savings, the private sector\u2019s strong financial footing, export dynamism and the deployment of Next Generation EU funds, while warning of challenges such as debt sustainability and public investment.<\/p>\n<p>In the &#8220;In Debate&#8221; section, four articles offer different perspectives on the new world economic scenario:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Elina\u202fRibakova<\/strong>, in \u201cWorld Economic Governance in Turmoil: Decisions for Europe,\u201d argues for deepening the Capital Markets Union, launching a digital euro, centralizing defence procurement\u2014including for Ukraine\u2014and completing the green transition without creating new dependencies.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Federico\u202fSteinberg<\/strong>, in \u201cThe European Union Facing a Second Trump Administration,\u201d warns of the constant need to manage transatlantic risks and proposes accelerating banking and fiscal union, issuing eurobonds for security and green transition, and unhesitatingly activating the AntiCoercion Instrument.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Eduardo\u202fMorales<\/strong>, in \u201cThe New Trade Policy,\u201d analyses the protectionist turn of the U.S. and the EU, the proliferation of tariffs and industrial subsidies, and their hidden costs and effects on productivity.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Carolina\u202fVillegas<\/strong>, in \u201cReconfiguring Global Value Chains in Light of New Trade Tensions: Adapting in a Fragmented World,\u201d details how firms are combining China+1, nearshoring and friendshoring strategies to diversify suppliers and mitigate geoeconomic fragmentation risks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Finally, the report concludes with reviews by Antonio\u202fGarc\u00eda\u202fMaldonado of two recent books:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Abundance. How We Build a Better Future<\/strong> by Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, which denounces the regulatory paralysis hindering innovation and calls for a state capable of driving transformative projects.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Invisible Doctrine<\/strong> by George Monbiot and Peter Hutchison, which explores how neoliberalism has undermined the social contract and fuelled the antipolitical discontent that propels populist leaders.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Esade publishes every six months, with the support of Banco Sabadell, the Economic and Financial Report, which on this occasion celebrates its 37th edition. With it, Esade maintains its vocation to contribute to public debate through rigorous and plural analysis that, as a prestigious school and with the complicity of its entire academic community, reinforces [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":12375,"template":"","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Informe Econ\u00f3mico y Financiero #37 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/en\/publications\/informe-economico-y-financiero-37\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Informe Econ\u00f3mico y Financiero #37 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Esade publishes every six months, with the support of Banco Sabadell, the Economic and Financial Report, which on this occasion celebrates its 37th edition. 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