{"id":13788,"date":"2025-12-15T10:18:27","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T09:18:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/?post_type=publicaciones&#038;p=13788"},"modified":"2026-09-16T16:50:27","modified_gmt":"2026-09-16T14:50:27","slug":"realtimemacro-desembre-de-2025","status":"publish","type":"publicaciones","link":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-desembre-de-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"RealTimeMacro \u2013 desembre de 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">\u2022 <\/span>El RealTimeTracker, el nostre model de seguiment i pron\u00f2stic en temps real, estima un <b>creixement <\/b><b>trimestral del PIB del 0,7% en el 4T25<\/b>, en l\u00ednia amb la mitjana dels \u00faltims quatre trimestres. Tamb\u00e9 <span class=\"s1\">anticipa, amb informaci\u00f3 encara molt incompleta, una lleu acceleraci\u00f3 en el 1T26 (+0,8%), cosa que indica que el <\/span><span class=\"s1\">manteniment del dinamisme de l\u2019economia espanyola continuaria a curt termini.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">\u2022 <\/span>En l\u2019avan\u00e7 del 0,7% del 4T25 hi haurien tingut una aportaci\u00f3 positiva els \u00edndexs de <b>xifra de <\/b><span class=\"s1\"><b>negoci de la majoria de les branques de serveis<\/b>, compensada per senyals mixts en els \u00edndexs de <\/span><span class=\"s2\">confian\u00e7a i d\u2019inversi\u00f3 i una contribuci\u00f3 lleugerament negativa de determinats indicadors de demanda, <\/span><span class=\"s1\">d\u2019oferta i del mercat laboral.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\"><span class=\"s1\">\u2022 El perfil de creixement fins al 3T25 i l\u2019estimaci\u00f3 del RealTimeTracker per al 4T25 situen l\u2019<\/span><span class=\"s1\"><b>avan\u00e7 anual en el 2,9%,<\/b> set d\u00e8cimes m\u00e9s del que es preveia a principis d\u2019any i m\u00e9s del <\/span><span class=\"s3\">doble que a l\u2019eurozona. Aix\u00f2 confirmaria la resist\u00e8ncia relativa de l\u2019economia espanyola i la seva <\/span><span class=\"s1\">capacitat per sortejar un balan\u00e7 de riscos elevats.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u2022 El RealTimeTracker, el nostre model de seguiment i pron\u00f2stic en temps real, estima un creixement trimestral del PIB del 0,7% en el 4T25, en l\u00ednia amb la mitjana dels \u00faltims quatre trimestres. Tamb\u00e9 anticipa, amb informaci\u00f3 encara molt incompleta, una lleu acceleraci\u00f3 en el 1T26 (+0,8%), cosa que indica que el manteniment del dinamisme [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":12861,"template":"","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>RealTimeMacro \u2013 desembre de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-desembre-de-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ca_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RealTimeMacro \u2013 desembre de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u2022 El RealTimeTracker, el nostre model de seguiment i pron\u00f2stic en temps real, estima un creixement trimestral del PIB del 0,7% en el 4T25, en l\u00ednia amb la mitjana dels \u00faltims quatre trimestres. Tamb\u00e9 anticipa, amb informaci\u00f3 encara molt incompleta, una lleu acceleraci\u00f3 en el 1T26 (+0,8%), cosa que indica que el manteniment del dinamisme [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-desembre-de-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-16T14:50:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-12-15-a-las-10.17.50.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1244\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"710\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@esadeecpol\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Temps estimat de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minut\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-desembre-de-2025\/\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-desembre-de-2025\/\",\"name\":\"RealTimeMacro \u2013 desembre de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-desembre-de-2025\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-desembre-de-2025\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-12-15-a-las-10.17.50.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-12-15T09:18:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-09-16T14:50:27+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-desembre-de-2025\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"ca\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-desembre-de-2025\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"ca\",\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-desembre-de-2025\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-12-15-a-las-10.17.50.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-12-15-a-las-10.17.50.png\",\"width\":1244,\"height\":710},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-desembre-de-2025\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Portada\",\"item\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Publicaciones\",\"item\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/publicaciones\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"RealTimeMacro \u2013 desembre de 2025\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/#website\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/\",\"name\":\"Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"ca\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"RealTimeMacro \u2013 desembre de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-desembre-de-2025\/","og_locale":"ca_ES","og_type":"article","og_title":"RealTimeMacro \u2013 desembre de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol","og_description":"\u2022 El RealTimeTracker, el nostre model de seguiment i pron\u00f2stic en temps real, estima un creixement trimestral del PIB del 0,7% en el 4T25, en l\u00ednia amb la mitjana dels \u00faltims quatre trimestres. 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