{"id":12190,"date":"2025-05-18T14:35:15","date_gmt":"2025-05-18T12:35:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/"},"modified":"2026-09-16T17:00:30","modified_gmt":"2026-09-16T15:00:30","slug":"realtimemacro-maig-de-2025","status":"publish","type":"publicaciones","link":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"RealTimeMacro &#8211; maig de 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"p1\">\u2022 El RealTimeTracker, el nostre model de seguiment i pron\u00f2stic en temps real, estima que el creixement trimestral del PIB se situaria en un rang del 0,5%-0,6% el 2T25, i es moderaria lleugerament respecte als \u00faltims trimestres. Tamb\u00e9 anticipa, amb informaci\u00f3 encara molt incompleta, un avan\u00e7 del +0,2% el 3T que suggeriria una desacceleraci\u00f3 gradual del creixement al llarg de l\u2019any.<br \/>\n\u2022 En l\u2019avan\u00e7 del 0,5%-0,6% hi haurien tingut una aportaci\u00f3 positiva els indicadors recents de confian\u00e7a i ocupaci\u00f3, i una aportaci\u00f3 negativa els indicadors de demanda (consum minorista) i d\u2019oferta (activitat industrial i de la majoria de branques de serveis).<br \/>\n\u2022 L\u2019efecte arrossegament pel dinamisme de l\u2019economia espanyola el 2024 i l\u2019avan\u00e7 previst en la primera meitat de l\u2019any garantirien un avan\u00e7 superior al 2% el 2025. No obstant aix\u00f2, el context internacional d\u2019incertesa i inestabilitat significatives (comercial, financera o geopol\u00edtica) podria restar for\u00e7a addicional al creixement d\u2019ara endavant. De moment, el RTT pronostica un avan\u00e7 anual del PIB al voltant del 2,3%, inferior al dels \u00faltims 4 anys, per\u00f2 aix\u00ed i tot substancialment superior al de la zona euro.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u2022 El RealTimeTracker, el nostre model de seguiment i pron\u00f2stic en temps real, estima que el creixement trimestral del PIB se situaria en un rang del 0,5%-0,6% el 2T25, i es moderaria lleugerament respecte als \u00faltims trimestres. Tamb\u00e9 anticipa, amb informaci\u00f3 encara molt incompleta, un avan\u00e7 del +0,2% el 3T que suggeriria una desacceleraci\u00f3 gradual [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":12181,"template":"","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>RealTimeMacro - maig de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ca_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RealTimeMacro - maig de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u2022 El RealTimeTracker, el nostre model de seguiment i pron\u00f2stic en temps real, estima que el creixement trimestral del PIB se situaria en un rang del 0,5%-0,6% el 2T25, i es moderaria lleugerament respecte als \u00faltims trimestres. Tamb\u00e9 anticipa, amb informaci\u00f3 encara molt incompleta, un avan\u00e7 del +0,2% el 3T que suggeriria una desacceleraci\u00f3 gradual [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-16T15:00:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-05-18-a-las-14.32.33.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1506\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"786\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@esadeecpol\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Temps estimat de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minut\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/\",\"name\":\"RealTimeMacro - maig de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-05-18-a-las-14.32.33.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-05-18T12:35:15+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-09-16T15:00:30+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"ca\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"ca\",\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-05-18-a-las-14.32.33.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-05-18-a-las-14.32.33.png\",\"width\":1506,\"height\":786},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Portada\",\"item\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Publicaciones\",\"item\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/publicaciones\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"RealTimeMacro &#8211; maig de 2025\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/#website\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/\",\"name\":\"Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"ca\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"RealTimeMacro - maig de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/","og_locale":"ca_ES","og_type":"article","og_title":"RealTimeMacro - maig de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol","og_description":"\u2022 El RealTimeTracker, el nostre model de seguiment i pron\u00f2stic en temps real, estima que el creixement trimestral del PIB se situaria en un rang del 0,5%-0,6% el 2T25, i es moderaria lleugerament respecte als \u00faltims trimestres. 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