{"id":12190,"date":"2025-05-18T14:35:15","date_gmt":"2025-05-18T12:35:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-05-18T14:35:15","modified_gmt":"2025-05-18T12:35:15","slug":"realtimemacro-maig-de-2025","status":"publish","type":"publicaciones","link":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/publicacions\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"RealTimeMacro – maig de 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u2022 El RealTimeTracker, el nostre model de seguiment i pron\u00f2stics en temps real, estima que el creixement trimestral del PIB se situaria en un rang del 0,5%-0,6% el 2T25, moderant-se lleument davant els darrers trimestres. Tamb\u00e9 anticipem, amb informaci\u00f3 encara molt incompleta, un aven\u00e7 del +0,2% el 3T que suggeriria una desacceleraci\u00f3 gradual del creixement al llarg de l’any.
\n\u2022 A l’aven\u00e7 del 0,5%-0,6% haurien tingut una aportaci\u00f3 positiva els indicadors recents de confian\u00e7a i ocupaci\u00f3 i una aportaci\u00f3 negativa els indicadors de demanda (consum minorista) i d’oferta (activitat industrial i de la majoria de branques de serveis).
\n\u2022 L’efecte arrossegament pel dinamisme econ\u00f2mic de l’economia espanyola el 2024 i l’aven\u00e7 previst a la primera meitat de l’any garantirien un aven\u00e7 superior al 2% el 2025. No obstant aix\u00f2, el context internacional d’incertesa i inestabilitat significatives (comercial, financera o geopol\u00edtica) podria restablir for\u00e7a addicional al creixement cap endavant. Ara com ara, l’RTT pronostica un aven\u00e7 anual del PIB al voltant del 2,3%, inferior al dels darrers 4 anys, per\u00f2 tot i aix\u00ed substancialment superior al de la zona de l’euro.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u2022 El RealTimeTracker, el nostre model de seguiment i pron\u00f2stics en temps real, estima que el creixement trimestral del PIB se situaria en un rang del 0,5%-0,6% el 2T25, moderant-se lleument davant els darrers trimestres. Tamb\u00e9 anticipem, amb informaci\u00f3 encara molt incompleta, un aven\u00e7 del +0,2% el 3T que suggeriria una desacceleraci\u00f3 gradual del creixement […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":12181,"template":"","yoast_head":"\nRealTimeMacro - maig de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ca_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"RealTimeMacro - maig de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u2022 El RealTimeTracker, el nostre model de seguiment i pron\u00f2stics en temps real, estima que el creixement trimestral del PIB se situaria en un rang del 0,5%-0,6% el 2T25, moderant-se lleument davant els darrers trimestres. Tamb\u00e9 anticipem, amb informaci\u00f3 encara molt incompleta, un aven\u00e7 del +0,2% el 3T que suggeriria una desacceleraci\u00f3 gradual del creixement […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@esadeecpol\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Temps estimat de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minut\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/\",\"name\":\"RealTimeMacro - maig de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-05-18-a-las-14.32.33.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-05-18T12:35:15+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-05-18T12:35:15+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"ca\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"ca\",\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-05-18-a-las-14.32.33.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-05-18-a-las-14.32.33.png\",\"width\":1506,\"height\":786},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Portada\",\"item\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Publicaciones\",\"item\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/publicaciones\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"RealTimeMacro – maig de 2025\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/#website\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/\",\"name\":\"Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"ca\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"RealTimeMacro - maig de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/","og_locale":"ca_ES","og_type":"article","og_title":"RealTimeMacro - maig de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol","og_description":"\u2022 El RealTimeTracker, el nostre model de seguiment i pron\u00f2stics en temps real, estima que el creixement trimestral del PIB se situaria en un rang del 0,5%-0,6% el 2T25, moderant-se lleument davant els darrers trimestres. Tamb\u00e9 anticipem, amb informaci\u00f3 encara molt incompleta, un aven\u00e7 del +0,2% el 3T que suggeriria una desacceleraci\u00f3 gradual del creixement […]","og_url":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/","og_site_name":"Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@esadeecpol","twitter_misc":{"Temps estimat de lectura":"1 minut"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/","url":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/","name":"RealTimeMacro - maig de 2025 - Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol","isPartOf":{"@id":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-05-18-a-las-14.32.33.png","datePublished":"2025-05-18T12:35:15+00:00","dateModified":"2025-05-18T12:35:15+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"ca","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"ca","@id":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#primaryimage","url":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-05-18-a-las-14.32.33.png","contentUrl":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Captura-de-pantalla-2025-05-18-a-las-14.32.33.png","width":1506,"height":786},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/publicaciones\/realtimemacro-maig-de-2025\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Portada","item":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Publicaciones","item":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/publicaciones\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"RealTimeMacro – maig de 2025"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/#website","url":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/","name":"Center for Economic Policy - EsadeEcPol","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/es\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"ca"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publicaciones\/12190"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publicaciones"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/publicaciones"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publicaciones\/12190\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12181"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/webecpol.esade.edu\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12190"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}